Scenarios for low-income countries in a climate-changing world
by the Forum for the Future

Forum for the Future, funded by the UK Department for International Development, undertook a year-long project looking at the possible responses to climate change in low-income countries out to 2030. They explored not only the direct environmental impacts of climate change, but also the social, political, psychological and economic shifts that it may cause.


Reversal of Fortunes Scenario

This is a fraught world where the need to cut carbon dominates international relations


Age of Opportunity Scenario

This world looks to the future and can imagine prosperity despite climate change, for most if not all.


Coping Alone Scenario

Increasing inequality, growing numbers of climate refugees and a divided global community – a frightening, turbulent world for many.


The Greater Good Scenario

Individual liberties and choice have suffered, but most people feel that their future is at least being safeguarded.

 

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Saskia Sassen:
The Future ahead
Wallerstein

Immanuel Wallerstein:
On the end of Capitalism
Wallerstein

Slavoj Žižek:
Are we living in the end times?
Zizek

Ray Kurzweil:
The Singularity Point
Kurzweil

Jeremy Rifkin:
The third industrial revolution
Rifkin

James Lovelock:
Apocalysis, soon
Lovelock

Noemi Klein:
Living disaster capitalism
Klein

Jane Jacobs:
Dark Age Ahead
Jacobs



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Tomorrow’s world: Next 150 years guide (BBC)

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Four Scenarios for low-income countries in a climate-changing world

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